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Author Thread: Dems responsible
smithmi
Dems responsible
Posted: Wednesday, October 08, 2008 8:14 AM
http://www.ibdeditorials.com/IBDArticles.aspx?id=308186097284712


Comments:

Author Thread:
Been There
Dems and GOP both irresponsible
Posted: Friday, October 10, 2008 2:37 PM

Thanks for the link to an interesting article about the current financial crisis. It seems to me, though, that the article is more than a little one-sided.

 

The regulations were indeed loosened in 1977 under Carter and a democratic congress and again in 1996 under Clinton and a republican congress. And the republican congress (with the help of democrats) voted down the stronger regulations proposed by president Bush in 2004, 2005, and 2006.


Barack Obama highlighted this issue in a major speech in September, 2007: Obama Calls for More Regulation of the Mortgage Industry

Subprime lending started off as a good idea - helping Americans buy homes who couldn’t previously afford to. Financial institutions created new financial instruments that could securitize these loans, slice them into finer and finer risk categories and spread them out among investors around the country and around the world.


In theory, this should have allowed mortgage lending to be less risky and more diversified. But as certain lenders and brokers began to see how much money could be made, they began to lower their standards. Some appraisers began inflating their estimates to get the deals done. Some borrowers started claiming income they didn’t have just to qualify for the loans, and some were engaging in irresponsible speculation. But many borrowers were tricked into glossing over the fine print. And ratings agencies began rating bundles of different kinds of these loans as low-risk even though they were very high-risk.


Most everyone knew that some of these deals were just too good to be true, but all that money flowing in made it tempting to look the other way and ignore the unscrupulous practice of some bad actors.


And yet, time and again we were warned this could happen. Ned Gramlich, the former Fed governor who sadly passed away two weeks ago, wrote an entire book predicting this very situation. Repeated calls for better disclosure and stronger oversight were met with millions in mortgage industry lobbying. Far too many continued to put their own short-term gain ahead of what they knew the long-term consequences would be when those rates exploded.


Those consequences are now clear: nearly 2.5 million homeowners could lose their homes. Millions more who had nothing to do with this could see the value of their own home decline - with some estimates projecting a cost of nearly $164 billion, primarily in lost home equity. The projected cost to investors is nearly $150 billion worldwide. And the impact on the housing market and wider economy has been so great that some economists are now predicting a possible recession - a prediction all of us hope does not come to pass.

The most direct cause of the recent collapse of large US firms was a change by the SEC in the rules governing the amount of risk those companies could take under a system of "voluntary self-regulation" (recently scrapped by Christopher Cox). The "voluntary self-regulation" of the largest Wall Street firms in the US was intended to shield those companies from EU regulations. Here is an article on the history of the deregulation in 2004 that led to the current mess: Agency’s ’04 Rule Let Banks Pile Up New Debt, and Risk

Many events in Washington, on Wall Street and elsewhere around the country have led to what has been called the most serious financial crisis since the 1930s. But decisions made at a brief meeting on April 28, 2004, explain why the problems could spin out of control. The agency’s failure to follow through on those decisions also explains why Washington regulators did not see what was coming.


On that bright spring afternoon, the five members of the Securities and Exchange Commission met in a basement hearing room to consider an urgent plea by the big investment banks.


They wanted an exemption for their brokerage units from an old regulation that limited the amount of debt they could take on. The exemption would unshackle billions of dollars held in reserve as a cushion against losses on their investments. Those funds could then flow up to the parent company, enabling it to invest in the fast-growing but opaque world of mortgage-backed securities; credit derivatives, a form of insurance for bond holders; and other exotic instruments.


The five investment banks led the charge, including Goldman Sachs, which was headed by Henry M. Paulson Jr. Two years later, he left to become Treasury secretary.


A lone dissenter — a software consultant and expert on risk management — weighed in from Indiana with a two-page letter to warn the commission that the move was a grave mistake. He never heard back from Washington.


One commissioner, Harvey J. Goldschmid, questioned the staff about the consequences of the proposed exemption. It would only be available for the largest firms, he was reassuringly told — those with assets greater than $5 billion.


“We’ve said these are the big guys,” Mr. Goldschmid said, provoking nervous laughter, “but that means if anything goes wrong, it’s going to be an awfully big mess.” 

So now Paulson gets to clean up the mess caused by the deregulation he had begged for.

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